Institutional US money on Kalshi and global crypto traders on Polymarket frequently disagree. We scan matching order books 24/7, calculate true fee-adjusted yield, and annualize APYs so you can lock in mathematical alpha.
Refreshed automatically every 30 seconds. Click Calculate on any opportunity to compute contract sizing.
Existing scrapers show phantom profits that vanish once fees and settlement timelines hit. We built our engine with institutional quantitative standards.
Kalshi charges taker execution fees (~1.5% on standard retail volume). A 1.2¢ gross spread on a 50¢ contract looks green on free scrapers but yields a net loss. Lucid factors in exact taker schedules.
A 3.5% yield on a market resolving in 4 days translates to an astounding 319% annualized APY. A 3.5% yield resolving in 9 months is sub-risk-free. We calculate true capital velocity.
Enter your total capital allocation (e.g. $1,000 or $5,000) and get contract allocations calibrated to match exactly 1:1 payouts, preventing accidental unbalanced directional risk.
Everything you need to know about trading prediction market arbitrage.
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